Gaby’s Track Goss From Warwick Farm

By Gabrielle Englebrecht

Will Coyle’s mare make him Emotional on Saturday?

Saturday’s racing at Randwick has a line up of horses that have the ability to make them comparable to some of Australia’s finest Olympians and the Jason Coyle trained Emotional Circus is no different.

The 4yo strong and burly mare by Elusive Quality has gone under the radar a little recently finishing third in the Premier Stakes behind Red Tracer and 7th behind Pampellone in the group 2 Shorts. Prior to these starts she put in an incredible performance to run 4th to More Joyous in the Sheraco Stakes coming from well back in the field to run her final furlong in an impressive 10.49 seconds.

On Saturday Emotional Circus is coming back in grade to race in the listed 1400m Nivison and Coyle is hoping his mare can be rewarded for her consistent efforts “she’s doing very well though was a touch unlucky last start but she kept hitting the line strongly, she’s only got to put in that effort again and she should prove hard to beat” remarked Coyle.

Sessions for Saturday!

Peter Snowden knows a good horse when he sees one having trained his share of them and the 3yo colt by Lohnro is showing enough ability to suggest he could be one of the future Darley stars of the stable.

Sessions has previously only had one start where he won impressively on the Kensington track back in April and resumes this Saturday in the listed Brian Crowley Stakes at Randwick over 1200m.

“he faces a tough task on Saturday resuming in a listed race at only his second race start ever but everything’s gone nicely this preparation and I feel he’s got good ability and if everything goes right they will certainly know he’s there” noted Snowden.

What are the chances?

During the Spring Carnival we see horses who most people can only dream about being associated with. Imagine owning More Joyous or training Pierro (Lucky for Gai Waterhouse she gets to train both!) but what are the chances of having a horse talented enough to contest the major carnivals?

According to statistics published by the Australian Racing Board in 2011 a little over 31,000 horses raced in Australia with only 45 of those horses earning over $500,000 in one year. That’s pretty much a one in seven hundred chance of having a well performed stakes horse each year. The statistics are more favourable for horses earning between 100-500k where you have a one in 53 chance of having a horse earn that kind of prizemoney. Naturally there are a whole range of factors that can affect your chances such pedigree, temperament and soundness however as far as what we can see by these statistics the odds are certainly better than Lotto and are what keeps the Australian dream of having the ever elusive group one winner alive!

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